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24 replies to this topic

#1 thundergaz

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Posted 27 November 2012 - 10:16 AM

The bookies prices for this season are shocking I wanted to have a few quid on us winning the treble and try naming the top 8 in order the bookie only offered me 6-4 for us to do the treble which i think is very short after what happened last season and he only offered me 4-1 for the top 8 in the right order I didn't have a bet but where do they get their silly odds from? By the way I'm not saying we will do the treble I just thought it was worth a few quid if the odds were 10-1 or something like that. I can't believe these odds especially when a ball hasn't been kicked yet too.

Edited by thundergaz, 27 November 2012 - 10:19 AM.


#2 elppaxr2i

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Posted 27 November 2012 - 10:32 AM

Forget bets like that if you want to make some money back us to beat the handicap every gameweek

#3 thundergaz

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Posted 27 November 2012 - 10:34 AM

Forget bets like that if you want to make some money back us to beat the handicap every gameweek


Thanks elpp I think that's the way to go I did it last season and yeah your right I made quite a bit from doing it that way.

#4 marklaspalmas

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Posted 27 November 2012 - 10:44 AM

Bookies. They'd nick the milk out of your tea.

 

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#5 Griff

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Posted 27 November 2012 - 11:58 AM

There's no point in backing favourites at this stage. The odds are always going to be short.
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#6 lingard

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Posted 27 November 2012 - 06:25 PM

What are the odds on C@s getting started on that ground of theirs?

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#7 roosterbooster

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Posted 27 November 2012 - 08:19 PM

C*s are 10/1 not to win any of their first 7 matches on Skybet. They play Warrington, Leeds, Bradford, Catalans, Wigan, Hull and London. :D

#8 guest from down under

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Posted 28 November 2012 - 01:27 PM

some naive understanding of odds and percentages on this thread , to my mind featherstone should be a 4/6 odds on chance to win each of the league, nr cup and the final . that compounds to an accumulated odds of approximatley 7/4 so your quote of 6/4 gaz is not generous but not far off either , you hoping for 10/1 means you do not understand the likelyhood of events happening in terms of percentages , that is understandable as most people have not got a clue about what odds should be .

"There's no point in backing favourites at this stage. The odds are always going to be short." This comment from griff is quite funny considering that it would be impossible for a favourite to be anything other than the shortest price in a contest .


To my mind i would be a backer of fev at 4/6 to win the league as fev have blown all the other clubs out of the water with the playing budget this season . i cannot see any other club getting within ten points . The other two competitions could be a bit more tricky taking into account the one off game nature of some of the fixtures.

#9 Griff

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Posted 28 November 2012 - 01:43 PM

"There's no point in backing favourites at this stage. The odds are always going to be short." This comment from griff is quite funny considering that it would be impossible for a favourite to be anything other than the shortest price in a contest .


"Shortest" and "short" are not synonyms. <_<
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#10 guest from down under

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Posted 28 November 2012 - 01:47 PM

just far a bit of fun ive priced up the championship clubs for the league . heres how i would bet

4/6 featherstone
9/2 sheffield
5/1 halifax
6/1 leigh
9/1 batley
66/1 york
66/1 dewsbury
100/1 swinton
100/1 barrow
100/1 keighley
100/1 whitehaven
100/1 workington
100/1 doncaster
100/1 hunslet

each way 1/5 the odds 1,2,3, total book approx 126% although in reality 9% of that cannot win .

Edited by guest from down under, 28 November 2012 - 01:57 PM.


#11 thundergaz

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Posted 28 November 2012 - 02:25 PM

.


To my mind i would be a backer of fev at 4/6 to win the league as fev have blown all the other clubs out of the water with the playing budget this season . i cannot see any other club getting within ten points .


That's a bold statement. I'm not saying we won't win the league but by 10 points? I doubt we will win it by that many if we do win it. I will agree we have a great squad this season though and if I'm being honest I haven't seen a squad this big at fev for a very long time it's the first time in years we can cover any position if we get injuries. The players that miss out on the 17 would probably get in most champ clubs starting line up so I would have to say we have a great chance of winning all 3 this season. But I'm very grateful we get to finals and compete for the league let alone win any of them. But robin stated a while back what we won last season wasn't enough for the salary cap we payed out. I would say we need to win more this season with the salary cap we have payed out this season.

#12 Monkeymagic22

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Posted 28 November 2012 - 04:18 PM

To clarify the situation, last season Rovers were 7/2 to win the Northern Rail Cup, and around 10/11 to finish top of the league.

To back the treble, you'd have to get a special price from the bookmakers since finishing top of the league and winning the Grand Final are related events.

My opinion for this season is that we'll be 10/11 to top the league, and probably 9/4 to win the Cup.

#13 guest from down under

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Posted 28 November 2012 - 05:09 PM

Take your point about related events but i think you have overpriced at 10/11 .i would be a large player at that price , but then again the game is all about opinions .

#14 Gary Coyle

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Posted 28 November 2012 - 07:20 PM

Take your point about related events but i think you have overpriced at 10/11 .i would be a large player at that price , but then again the game is all about opinions .

That'll be the Burgers Keith, need to cut em out mate.

#15 frankb

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Posted 30 November 2012 - 09:44 PM

just far a bit of fun ive priced up the championship clubs for the league . heres how i would bet

4/6 featherstone
9/2 sheffield
5/1 halifax
6/1 leigh
9/1 batley
66/1 york
66/1 dewsbury
100/1 swinton
100/1 barrow
100/1 keighley
100/1 whitehaven
100/1 workington
100/1 doncaster
100/1 hunslet

each way 1/5 the odds 1,2,3, total book approx 126% although in reality 9% of that cannot win .


I shall respond to this thread on the evening of February 3rd. :) Put it in your diary.

#16 guest from down under

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Posted 28 January 2013 - 12:50 AM

once again the major bookmakers have demonstrated that they know nothing about championship rugby league , all you fev supporters should be opening accounts and macheteing your way into the 6/5 odds for fev winning the regular season. far better than the building society and the true odds should be about 4/9 .there are more mistakes on skybets odds for the championship than notches on paris hiltons bedside table .

#17 guest from down under

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Posted 28 January 2013 - 01:08 AM

just far a bit of fun ive priced up the championship clubs for the league . heres how i would bet

4/6 featherstone
9/2 sheffield
5/1 halifax
6/1 leigh
9/1 batley
66/1 york
66/1 dewsbury
100/1 swinton
100/1 barrow
100/1 keighley
100/1 whitehaven
100/1 workington
100/1 doncaster
100/1 hunslet

each way 1/5 the odds 1,2,3, total book approx 126% although in reality 9% of that cannot win .


i posted the above in november and i have now tweaked my opinion of the correct odds for the championship regular season.

1/2 fev
9/2 sheff
5/1 halifax
6/1 leigh
10/1 batley
33/1 dews
50/1 york
50/1 worky
66/1 donny
100 whitehaven
100 keigh
125 huns
150 barrow
150 swin

#18 Robin Evans

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Posted 28 January 2013 - 06:54 AM

Leigh at 6/1? Generous??
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#19 thundergaz

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Posted 28 January 2013 - 08:46 AM

Leigh at 6/1? Generous??


I thought that too robin I had a little dabble on them yesterday at that price. ( only did it because I think it's between us and them for the league and I couldn't back us with them odds really)

#20 guest from down under

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Posted 28 January 2013 - 10:22 AM

you both may well be right that leigh may be a bit big at 6/1 on my list but i believe that the main challengers will be sheffield who are a great each way bet at 10/1 with skybet . i dont fancy halifax but you cannot discount them and i dont think there will be a lot between the four behind fev .




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