Wiltshire Warrior Dragon Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 19 minutes ago, Shadow said: Is it safe? It's OK, Shadow. Medical advice is that watching movies is usually safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Futtocks Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted. Ralph Waldo Emerson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shadow Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 12 minutes ago, Wiltshire Warrior Dragon said: It's OK, Shadow. Medical advice is that watching movies is usually safe. Some of the ones Mrs Shadow chooses reduce my will to live, they mainly seem to consist of Sandra Bullock realising the guy she’s been arguing with is the one she’ll end up with. Sometimes it’s Meg Ryan or Jennifer Lopez, sometimes it’s Keanu Reeves or Matthew McConnaghie arguing with a girl but the outcome is always the same. she may feel the same way about Jason Statham’s body of work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saintslass Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 14 hours ago, Wholly Trinity said: Unfortunately, the figures for Wakefield District are a little further down the line. There are 745 confirmed cases in Wakefield, out of a local population of 348,312 In Wakefield there were 250 coronavirus-related deaths up to the 15 May. In this area 23% of all deaths involved coronavirus between 29 Feb and 15 May Where I live we haven't had a positive test recorded now for four days. We have a drive through testing centre based here as well as the hospital of course and we have had a mobile testing thingy go through the area a couple of times so I would imagine quite a few people have been able to get a test locally. However, there will always be the asymptomatic cases and those who don't get a test for whatever reason. Our deaths have fallen to 0-1 each day. We went three days without any recorded deaths last week. There is no record of hospital admissions and so I have no idea where that is up to but here in St Helens we appear to be in a relatively good position now. We have recorded almost 200 deaths during the pandemic so far. Our population is around 180,000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Les Tonks Sidestep Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 5 hours ago, Moose said: You can’t leave like that Les!! What happened to the chicken.... The chicken was unarmed and lived happily ever after - at least till it stopped laying.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shadow Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 35 minutes ago, Les Tonks Sidestep said: The chicken was unarmed and lived happily ever after - at least till it stopped laying.... Did it at any point cross the road? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Les Tonks Sidestep Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 Just now, Shadow said: Did it at any point cross the road? It doing so was the cause the incident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shadow Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 1 minute ago, Les Tonks Sidestep said: It doing so was the cause the incident. You’ve said enough. Spare me the horrendous detail, I’m quite squeamish these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saintslass Posted May 31, 2020 Share Posted May 31, 2020 I just love this ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wholly Trinity Posted June 1, 2020 Share Posted June 1, 2020 7 hours ago, Saintslass said: Where I live we haven't had a positive test recorded now for four days. We have a drive through testing centre based here as well as the hospital of course and we have had a mobile testing thingy go through the area a couple of times so I would imagine quite a few people have been able to get a test locally. However, there will always be the asymptomatic cases and those who don't get a test for whatever reason. Our deaths have fallen to 0-1 each day. We went three days without any recorded deaths last week. There is no record of hospital admissions and so I have no idea where that is up to but here in St Helens we appear to be in a relatively good position now. We have recorded almost 200 deaths during the pandemic so far. Our population is around 180,000. I don't know the current situation in Wakefield as I don't live there atm. As the number of cases has gone down and the testing has gone up, it's likely that the testing regime is more adequate now. The point on the testing was not really to do with the current situation, rather the historical/overall record. 250 deaths (to 15th May) from only 745 confirmed/tested cases is a 33.6% case mortality rate. This suggests that they were only testing a tiny fraction of those with the virus. There's no way a third of all symptomatic cases were dying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wholly Trinity Posted June 1, 2020 Share Posted June 1, 2020 7 hours ago, Saintslass said: Where I live we haven't had a positive test recorded now for four days. We have a drive through testing centre based here as well as the hospital of course and we have had a mobile testing thingy go through the area a couple of times so I would imagine quite a few people have been able to get a test locally. However, there will always be the asymptomatic cases and those who don't get a test for whatever reason. Our deaths have fallen to 0-1 each day. We went three days without any recorded deaths last week. There is no record of hospital admissions and so I have no idea where that is up to but here in St Helens we appear to be in a relatively good position now. We have recorded almost 200 deaths during the pandemic so far. Our population is around 180,000. There are 750 confirmed cases in St. Helens, out of a local population of 180,585 In St. Helens there were 172 coronavirus-related deaths up to the 15 May. In this area 27% of all deaths involved coronavirusbetween 29 Feb and 15 May ... Only? 23% case mortality rate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob8 Posted June 1, 2020 Share Posted June 1, 2020 5 hours ago, Wholly Trinity said: There are 750 confirmed cases in St. Helens, out of a local population of 180,585 In St. Helens there were 172 coronavirus-related deaths up to the 15 May. In this area 27% of all deaths involved coronavirusbetween 29 Feb and 15 May ... Only? 23% case mortality rate? If there were 172 deaths, we can estimate 17,200 cases roughly. That could be much lower if nursing homes took a dispropotionate hit of the infections. "You clearly have never met Bob8 then, he's like a veritable Bryan Ferry of RL." - Johnoco 19 Jul 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saintslass Posted June 1, 2020 Share Posted June 1, 2020 34 minutes ago, Bob8 said: If there were 172 deaths, we can estimate 17,200 cases roughly. That could be much lower if nursing homes took a dispropotionate hit of the infections. How do you get that extrapolation? There have been a fair few nursing home deaths in St Helens. One nursing home in particular was hit hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob8 Posted June 1, 2020 Share Posted June 1, 2020 1 minute ago, Saintslass said: How do you get that extrapolation? There have been a fair few nursing home deaths in St Helens. One nursing home in particular was hit hard. The extrapolation was just taking a mortality rate of 1:100. It is a huge rough guess, we can say a range of about 4,000 to 35,000 really. Again, just rough guess. "You clearly have never met Bob8 then, he's like a veritable Bryan Ferry of RL." - Johnoco 19 Jul 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saintslass Posted June 1, 2020 Share Posted June 1, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bob8 said: The extrapolation was just taking a mortality rate of 1:100. It is a huge rough guess, we can say a range of about 4,000 to 35,000 really. Again, just rough guess. Yep, I guessed that! What I meant was why that particular figure? Why not 1:200 or 1:50? Just wondering as there appears to be a huge range being banded around at the moment, from the >2,000 to the ONS estimated 8,000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob8 Posted June 1, 2020 Share Posted June 1, 2020 32 minutes ago, Saintslass said: Yep, I guessed that! What I meant was why that particular figure? Why not 1:200 or 1:50? Just wondering as there appears to be a huge range being banded around at the moment, from the >2,000 to the ONS estimated 8,000. The mortality rate in Denmark appears to be about 0.5%. That was after it was spread in the general population, but nursing homes and care homes were shielded from it. As that has not happened so much in the UK and the St Helens population are less healthy, about 1% seemed a rough figure. It was also a round figure to emphasise that this was guess work, had I chosen 0.94%, it might have seemed more calculated than it was. "You clearly have never met Bob8 then, he's like a veritable Bryan Ferry of RL." - Johnoco 19 Jul 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saintslass Posted June 1, 2020 Share Posted June 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Bob8 said: The mortality rate in Denmark appears to be about 0.5%. That was after it was spread in the general population, but nursing homes and care homes were shielded from it. As that has not happened so much in the UK and the St Helens population are less healthy, about 1% seemed a rough figure. It was also a round figure to emphasise that this was guess work, had I chosen 0.94%, it might have seemed more calculated than it was. Fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ckn Posted June 1, 2020 Share Posted June 1, 2020 In a day of bad news after bad news, this is a very welcome bit of good news. Deliberately posting off the Politics thread as I’m really not interested in “yes but” comments or comparisons. It’s just good news, be happy about it. "When in deadly danger, when beset by doubt; run in little circles, wave your arms and shout" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gingerjon Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 9 hours ago, ckn said: In a day of bad news after bad news, this is a very welcome bit of good news. Deliberately posting off the Politics thread as I’m really not interested in “yes but” comments or comparisons. It’s just good news, be happy about it. A friend in Spain is going out to work for the first time in three months tomorrow. He's both looking forward to it and moderately terrified. Build a man a fire, and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life. (Terry Pratchett) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gingerjon Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 Just seen this so haven't had chance to have a proper look over but could be interesting. "Picturing Lockdown: Historic England's archive of isolation" https://www.theguardian.com/world/gallery/2020/jun/02/picturing-lockdown-historic-england-archive-isolation-in-pictures?CMP=share_btn_tw Build a man a fire, and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life. (Terry Pratchett) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robin Evans Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 Patisserie Bigot à Amboise today..... Been a favourite visit of mine for 30 years. Opened again today..... I have so missed this gem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsontown Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 Hang on, that's not Rotherham! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robin Evans Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, wilsontown said: Hang on, that's not Rotherham! You can tell by the absence of dog cak! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaun mc Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 1 hour ago, Robin Evans said: Patisserie Bigot à Amboise today..... Been a favourite visit of mine for 30 years. Opened again today..... I have so missed this gem One of life's pleasures - a proper French patisserie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robin Evans Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, shaun mc said: One of life's pleasures - a proper French patisserie croissants chaud...cafe....en terrasse.... parfait.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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