Statistical fun

[fevnut]

With the boredom of no Fev (or any rugby league) games to watch I watched a bit of the Luxembourg v Wales soccer world cup qualifier and started wondering what proportion of  eligible members of their populations make up their squad.

Started with the total population. Divided that by 2 (females don't play in men's matches!). Then used co-pilot AI to find out what proportion of populations in Europe are between 18 and 35 years old and got the answer that it is between 20 and 25%.

We decided to err on the generous side and used the 25% figure.

On the basis of an 18 man squad that gives the following results for England, Wales and Luxembourg.

Here are the results:

If you are English, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 400,000 of being in the squad.

If you are Welsh, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 22,000 of being in the squad.

If you are a Luxembourger, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 285 of being in the squad!!!

 

[plug]

3 hours ago, fevnut said:

With the boredom of no Fev (or any rugby league) games to watch I watched a bit of the Luxembourg v Wales soccer world cup qualifier and started wondering what proportion of  eligible members of their populations make up their squad.

Started with the total population. Divided that by 2 (females don't play in men's matches!). Then used co-pilot AI to find out what proportion of populations in Europe are between 18 and 35 years old and got the answer that it is between 20 and 25%.

We decided to err on the generous side and used the 25% figure.

On the basis of an 18 man squad that gives the following results for England, Wales and Luxembourg.

Here are the results:

If you are English, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 400,000 of being in the squad.

If you are Welsh, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 22,000 of being in the squad.

If you are a Luxembourger, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 285 of being in the squad!!!

 

You'v got too much time on your hands fevnut

[Michael Bates]

It's an interesting thing to look at. When you consider San Marino has the same population (give or take) as Pontefract, it's no surprise that they're not very successful. 

[The Phantom Horseman]

3 hours ago, fevnut said:

 

If you are English, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 400,000 of being in the squad.

If you are Welsh, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 22,000 of being in the squad.

If you are a Luxembourger, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 285 of being in the squad!!!

 

If you are from Featherstone, male and between 18 and 35, you have a chance of about 1 in 2 of being in the squad next season!

[agoodsteakdinner]

14 hours ago, fevnut said:

With the boredom of no Fev (or any rugby league) games to watch I watched a bit of the Luxembourg v Wales soccer world cup qualifier and started wondering what proportion of  eligible members of their populations make up their squad.

Started with the total population. Divided that by 2 (females don't play in men's matches!). Then used co-pilot AI to find out what proportion of populations in Europe are between 18 and 35 years old and got the answer that it is between 20 and 25%.

We decided to err on the generous side and used the 25% figure.

On the basis of an 18 man squad that gives the following results for England, Wales and Luxembourg.

Here are the results:

If you are English, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 400,000 of being in the squad.

If you are Welsh, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 22,000 of being in the squad.

If you are a Luxembourger, male and between 18 and 35 you have a chance of about 1 in 285 of being in the squad!!!

 

You must be boredom Wales play Liechtenstein not Luxembourg.

[Gooleboy]

13 hours ago, The Phantom Horseman said:

If you are from Featherstone, male and between 18 and 35, you have a chance of about 1 in 2 of being in the squad next season!

And if you turn up to Cas early for the Xmas friendly, you will be selected!

[fevnut]

2 hours ago, agoodsteakdinner said:

You must be boredom Wales play Liechtenstein not Luxembourg.

The populations of Luxembourg and Liechtenstein are almost the same so, even though I got which mini-state wrong, the calculations still apply.