Match preview: Hull Kingston Rovers V Castleford Tigers

Friday February 28, 8pm, Sky Sports 1

Table toppers Castleford will be looking to continue in their rich vein of form when they visit the KC Lightstream stadium tomorrow night. They are without Jordan Tansey, who was injured by a Julian Bosquet cannonball tackle last week, but experienced Australian Luke Dorn comes in to replace him. The Rovers are without prop Michael Weyman and centre Sean Gleeson but will be full of confidence after a superb spell in the last two minutes against Huddersfield salvaged a point.

The squads

2 Kirk Dixon, 3 Michael Shenton, 5 Justin Carney, 6 Luke Dorn, 7 Marc Sneyd, 8 Andy Lynch, 9 Adam Milner, 10 Craig Huby, 11 Grant Millington, 12 Weller Hauraki, 14 Daryl Clark, 16 Oliver Holmes, 18 Frankie Mariano, 19 Scott Wheeldon, 20 Jamie Ellis, 22 Richard Owen, 23 Michael Channing, 25 Dan Fleming, 26 Liam Finn.

6 Travis Burns, 21 Keal Carlile, 24 Omari Caro, 2 Ben Cockayne, 12 Neville Costigan, 20 Jordan Cox, 1 Greg Eden, 23 James Green, 19 Craig Hall, 9 Josh Hodgson, 15 Graeme Horne, 7 Kris Keating, 13 Jamie Langley, 11 Kevin Larroyer, 22 Rhys Lovegrove, 18 Liam Salter, 14 Adam Walker, 17 Jonny Walker, 3 Kris Welham.

What the bookies think

Hull KR are favourites with the bookies at 8/13. Castleford are 13/8. There is a four point handicap in favour of Hull KR.

Our prediction

Despite what the bookies say, I am predicting a comfortable Castleford win.

What Stats Man thinks

Hull KR have won their last seven home meetings with Castleford.
The Tigers are seeking their first away victory against the Robins in the summer era – their last win coming 16-12 in the Regal Trophy on 15 November, 1993.
In the last ten meetings, this is what has happened:

Castleford 32, Hull KR 24 (SLR14, 5/5/13)
Hull KR 26, Castleford 22 (SLR8, 24/3/13)
Hull KR 70, Castleford 12 (SLR14, 20/5/12)
Castleford 34, Hull KR 30 (SLR9, 30/3/12)
Hull KR 26, Castleford 24 (SLR27, 10/9/11)
Castleford 27, Hull KR 14 (SLR4, 6/3/11)
Hull KR 28, Castleford 26 (SLR24, 1/8/10)
Castleford 20, Hull KR 24 (SLR4, 27/2/10)
Castleford 28, Hull KR 46 (SLR23, 2/8/09)
Hull KR 16, Castleford 6 (SLR14, 22/5/09)

Super League summary
Hull KR won 8
Castleford won 4
Hull KR highest score: 70-12 (H, 2012) (also widest margin)
Castleford highest score: 34-30 (H, 2012) (Widest margin: 27-14, H, 2011)

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