Final two games are tough ones for Crusaders at home: St Helens and Hull KR. They will probably lose both.
Castleford have a home game against Harlequins, which they would be expected to win, followed by St Helens away in the final game ever held at Knowsley Road, which Castleford should lose badly.
If Castleford win one and Crusaders lose both then Crusaders and Castleford will be equal on points, but Castleford have a better for and against.
So if Crusaders are to make the playoffs, then either Crusaders have to upset a highly motivated Hull KR (now neck and neck with a rampant Huddersfield), or else Harlequins have to upset Castleford.
The latter seems to me more likely, even if unlikely.
Edited by ParisSurtout, 16 August 2010 - 08:17 AM.