bowes

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  1. It makes sense to accept the Customs Union and Northern Ireland amendments but not the one preventing the Facilitated Customs Agreement
  2. I’m not convinced a deal can be reached if Theresa May’s proposal fails to get through Parliament, so a Remain vs no deal referendum may then be necessary
  3. No, but they may believe they’re doing the right thing eg if Jacob Rees-Mogg were leader
  4. I suspect Theresa May would get ousted pretty quickly in that scenario and someone else would either take us out with no deal or be no confidenced by moderate Conservatives for trying to do so
  5. I think if Theresa May’s deal either gets voted down in parliament or rejected by the EU then there’ll only be two possibilities- remaining or leaving with no deal. So I expect a massive bun fight in Parliament to break out over both options.
  6. They couldn’t raise a team for their away games
  7. Labour have adopted a clear policy. It’s just a very awful policy much worse than Theresa May’s (which itself has issues). Labour’s policy is to adopt the Turkish model of relationship with the EU. This would mean goods only free trade with the EU and Turkey, but heavy barriers to exports outside the EU whilst unilaterally allowing tariff free imports from a lot of those same countries
  8. You would think that, but Michel Barnier seems determined to prevent a workable deal. The European Parliament and European Council could step in at some point to overrule the European Commission, though it’s clear that fewer obligations means fewer trade benefits.
  9. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jul/13/say-cheese-why-italy-wont-ratify-eu-free-trade-deal-with-canada
  10. Northampton did for a season but they really struggled
  11. Many European countries are equally white supremacist.
  12. This is the biggest problem with Theresa May’s approach. She’s fallen into a no man’s land that pleases neither side. Barnier and Trump are both nasty pieces of work but unfortunately we need to agree with one or the other (or the third option of China that are probably worse). From a domestic standards perspective the EU are the better option but I don’t think it’s possible to leave the EU and still do a deal with them, apart from the SM/CU option which is the most pointless idea ever as we’d still have all our current obligations but give up voting rights and face one sided tariff increases for our exports outside the EU, so this makes things politically more difficult
  13. I don’t know if what I said would increase or decrease net immigration from current figures but yeah I suspect it would be over 100,000 still One likely effect of the TPP will be the creation of a sizeable Vietnamese diaspora similar to the one that already exists for Filipinos. Japan will become more diverse as well
  14. The TPP explicitly requires exemptions from RLMT for people on temporary skilled work visas and intra-company transfers for managers, technical workers and shorter ones for graduate trainees. I don’t think it would be too onerous for the U.K. to accept but would probably need both TPP and the EU to have privileged rules over the rest of the world
  15. My guess would be that EU citizens would be exempt from the RLMT and visa cap for Tier 2 (General) visas and the skills threshold and salary level would be lower (NQF3 and £20,800 respectively would be my guess). If we want to join the TPP we would need to offer the same to the other members, though this has already been hinted at for some close trading partners outside the EU