.....which tends to suggest that perhaps nothing unpredictable has happened.
If we are surprised at anything, it is that the Government is less prepared that we would have expected. That feeds into the narrative that the Government are letting a wonderful opportunity slip through their fingers.
As things have largely gone as would be foreseen, why would there be a mass of people ready to change their vote.
We see on this board, the only person who has changed their mind is John M, who went to supporting Leave. As it is now official Tory policy, he will not be the only one.
Bowes has perhaps wavered, but he is rare in that he was very clear on the specific Brexit he was after (which was the one on offer from the Leave campaign). Bowes can suspect he will get a bait and switch, but few will be as specific in what they favour and I suspect he would still vote Leave.
Mich Gledhill would still vote Leave, I imagine. And still suspect it was a vote for the northern working class against a privileged elite. Saintslass would still vote Leave, I suspect Johnoco and MIAG would too.
Because, nothing has changed.